Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.266181 0.313616 0.370109 0.443236 0.536710 0.654047 0.815533
2025-01-19 0.194477 0.250868 0.327019 0.440904 0.613559 0.877842 1.340893
2025-01-26 0.157943 0.217365 0.305384 0.452749 0.710526 1.183443 2.243775
2025-02-02 0.135789 0.196500 0.293280 0.471291 0.824674 1.595548 3.847571
2025-02-09 0.119162 0.179384 0.281209 0.483783 0.933225 2.088166 6.565751
2025-02-16 0.107146 0.166824 0.273017 0.499687 1.058040 2.751198 11.858048
2025-02-23 0.096927 0.155181 0.263379 0.508827 1.173329 3.539180 21.961341
2025-03-02 0.088177 0.144533 0.253112 0.512928 1.279599 4.472543 42.694552
2025-03-09 0.080320 0.134246 0.241378 0.509709 1.364345 5.493507 86.700290
2025-03-16 0.073014 0.123946 0.227657 0.497327 1.413480 6.471506 179.771752
2025-03-23 0.069023 0.119529 0.225706 0.515765 1.591823 8.813539 776.541161
2025-03-30 0.063518 0.111365 0.213984 0.503294 1.640596 10.404107 3299.325009
2025-04-06 0.059817 0.106558 0.209430 0.511718 1.797065 13.909194 537698.507789
2025-04-13 0.055689 0.100400 0.200757 0.505246 1.883452 17.333057 NaN
2025-04-20 0.053012 0.097017 0.198263 0.518290 2.091460 24.753914 NaN
2025-04-27 0.050981 0.094784 0.198250 0.540114 2.384054 38.878711 NaN
2025-05-04 0.048817 0.092002 0.196363 0.554964 2.661381 60.884225 NaN
2025-05-11 0.046988 0.089770 0.195561 0.574010 3.008793 104.906718 NaN
2025-05-18 0.045019 0.087001 0.192865 0.584981 3.322207 181.376263 NaN
2025-05-25 0.043020 0.083962 0.188961 0.589908 3.603613 319.658118 NaN
2025-06-01 0.040928 0.080506 0.183385 0.586036 3.804601 547.194234 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038701 0.076539 0.175820 0.571160 3.873908 837.608844 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037655 0.075339 0.176223 0.593319 4.440188 3211.232005 NaN